The Federal Reserve's 2026 Small Business Credit Survey doesn't bury the lead: 43% of small businesses are reporting tariff-related cost challenges right now. Not hypothetical future pressure or fears about what might happen.

Actual, present-quarter cost disruption is affecting nearly half the small business population. And yet the credit market's response has been to tighten, not to open.

Bank credit standards net tightened 8.9% in Q4 2025. The businesses that need capital most are finding it hardest to get.

43%
Small businesses facing tariff cost challenges (Fed 2026 Survey)
$166B
Pending tariff refund claims now used as loan collateral
8.9%
Net bank credit tightening, Q4 2025 (Fed SLOOS)
Small business owner reviewing tariff cost impact on supply chain invoices

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The Tariff Landscape in April 2026: The Numbers That Are Actually Moving Markets

Two tariff structures are currently running simultaneously. The first is a blanket 10% import levy applied to goods from most trading partners.

The second is the China-specific rate at 125%. This rate effectively functions as a near-total trade barrier for many Chinese-sourced product categories.